Last week the network ran 2.4M hands. Across every population sample we pulled, one decision class loses more than any other: weak offsuit aces (A9o down to A2o) played from UTG, MP, and LJ. The hand class is everywhere — and it's costing the table money in two distinct ways.
Why it leaks so hard
Offsuit Ax is the dictionary definition of a domination magnet. When you open A8o from MP and get called by the BTN, you're either flipping versus a pocket pair or you're crushed by AT–AK. The 30%-equity outcomes win you 1 pot; the 22%-equity outcomes lose you 3.
The leak compounds postflop. With no kicker advantage and no straight/flush draws, hands that connect the ace are top-pair-no-kicker — a hand class the population over-defends on big boards. Net result: small wins, large losses, and a steady -12 bb/100 drag.
The fix, in one line
Next week we re-run the pipeline against WPT Gold's 2.5 BB ante structure — early data suggests the same hand class plays very differently when there's already 4 BB in the middle. Stay tuned.